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EWAR Rankings

Top 150 players by projected Wins Above Replacement over the next 5 seasons. Real model, not market price.

#PlayerPosAge5-Yr EWAR
1
Jahmyr GibbsDET
RB24
29.96
2
Bijan RobinsonATL
RB24
26.06
3
Ashton JeantyLV
RB23
25.09
4
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA
WR24
24.13
5
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN
WR26
22.53
6
Puka NacuaLAR
WR25
21.84
7
Jeremiyah LoveARI
RB21
21.11
8
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET
WR27
20.58
9
Trey McBrideARI
TE27
16.78
10
De'Von AchaneMIA
RB25
16.12
11
Justin JeffersonMIN
WR27
15.54
12
Brock BowersLV
TE24
15.32
13
CeeDee LambDAL
WR27
14.02
14
Drake LondonATL
WR25
13.33
15
Omarion HamptonLAC
RB23
13.03
16
Chris OlaveNO
WR26
12.91
17
Bucky IrvingTB
RB24
12.76
18
Kenneth WalkerKC
RB26
12.35
19
Quinshon JudkinsCLE
RB23
11.30
20
Josh AllenBUF
QB30
10.86
21
Tetairoa McMillanCAR
WR23
10.79
22
Garrett WilsonNYJ
WR26
10.56
23
Nico CollinsHOU
WR27
10.46
24
Breece HallNYJ
RB25
10.43
25
Parker WashingtonJAX
WR24
10.38
26
Zay FlowersBAL
WR26
10.28
27
Cam SkatteboNYG
RB24
9.09
28
Matthew GoldenGB
WR23
8.73
29
George PickensDAL
WR25
8.30
30
Carnell TateTEN
WR21
8.19
31
Malik NabersNYG
WR23
8.00
32
Rashee RiceKC
WR26
7.82
33
Luther BurdenCHI
WR23
7.78
34
Christian WatsonGB
WR27
7.53
35
Tyler WarrenIND
TE24
7.52
36
Lamar JacksonBAL
QB29
7.14
37
Jordyn TysonNO
WR22
6.69
38
DeVonta SmithPHI
WR28
6.44
39
Jadarian PriceSEA
RB23
6.39
40
Joe BurrowCIN
QB30
6.11
41
Chase BrownCIN
RB26
5.85
42
Emeka EgbukaTB
WR24
5.74
43
Jalen CokerCAR
WR25
5.74
44
Jonathan TaylorIND
RB27
5.67
45
Kenyon SadiqNYJ
TE21
5.19
46
Christian McCaffreySF
RB30
5.17
47
Tee HigginsCIN
WR27
4.89
48
Ladd McConkeyLAC
WR25
3.87
49
Brock PurdySF
QB27
3.75
50
Harold FanninCLE
TE22
3.72
51
Michael WilsonARI
WR26
3.66
52
Derrick HenryBAL
RB32
3.64
53
Patrick MahomesKC
QB31
3.55
54
Denzel BostonCLE
WR23
3.55
55
Bhayshul TutenJAX
RB23
3.44
56
Javonte WilliamsDAL
RB26
3.36
57
Sam LaPortaDET
TE25
2.81
58
TreVeyon HendersonNE
RB24
1.94
59
James CookBUF
RB27
1.80
60
Jayden DanielsWAS
QB26
1.70
61
KC ConcepcionCLE
WR22
1.70
62
A.J. BrownNE
WR29
1.63
63
Trevor LawrenceJAX
QB27
1.36
64
Davante AdamsLAR
WR34
1.35
65
Fernando MendozaLV
QB23
1.34
66
Dak PrescottDAL
QB33
1.28
67
Jalen HurtsPHI
QB28
1.13
68
Caleb WilliamsCHI
QB25
1.02
69
Dalton KincaidBUF
TE27
0.99
70
Jaxson DartNYG
QB23
0.75
71
Zach CharbonnetSEA
RB25
0.56
72
Kyren WilliamsLAR
RB26
0.50
73
Isaiah LikelyNYG
TE26
0.34
74
Jared GoffDET
QB32
0.32
75
Tyler ShoughNO
QB27
-0.00
76
Drake MayeNE
QB24
-0.19
77
DJ MooreBUF
WR29
-0.28
78
Colston LovelandCHI
TE22
-0.65
79
Jordan AddisonMIN
WR24
-0.65
80
Makai LemonPHI
WR22
-0.65
81
Josh DownsIND
WR25
-0.84
82
Jaylen WaddleDEN
WR28
-1.11
83
Alec PierceIND
WR26
-1.17
84
Mike EvansSF
WR33
-1.20
85
Jameson WilliamsDET
WR25
-1.45
86
Jonah ColemanDEN
RB23
-1.62
87
Kyler MurrayMIN
QB29
-1.69
88
Cam WardTEN
QB24
-1.94
89
Rome OdunzeCHI
WR24
-1.95
90
RJ HarveyDEN
RB25
-2.07
91
Ollie GordonMIA
RB22
-2.08
92
Sam DarnoldSEA
QB29
-2.33
93
Chuba HubbardCAR
RB27
-2.53
94
Terry McLaurinWAS
WR31
-2.78
95
Bryce YoungCAR
QB25
-2.80
96
Jordan LoveGB
QB28
-2.84
97
George KittleSF
TE33
-2.94
98
Saquon BarkleyPHI
RB29
-2.95
99
Tucker KraftGB
TE26
-3.07
100
D'Andre SwiftCHI
RB27
-3.28
101
Adonai MitchellNYJ
WR24
-3.46
102
Malik WashingtonMIA
WR25
-3.68
103
Bo NixDEN
QB26
-4.02
104
Kyle PittsATL
TE26
-4.09
105
Xavier WorthyKC
WR23
-4.33
106
Chris GodwinTB
WR30
-4.60
107
Kyle MonangaiCHI
RB24
-4.68
108
Khalil ShakirBUF
WR26
-4.71
109
Jaylen WarrenPIT
RB28
-4.97
110
Dallas GoedertPHI
TE31
-5.61
111
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN
WR25
-5.84
112
Matthew StaffordLAR
QB38
-6.00
113
Juwan JohnsonNO
TE30
-6.00
114
Dontayvion WicksPHI
WR25
-6.03
115
Ryan FlournoyDAL
WR27
-6.09
116
Terrance FergusonLAR
TE23
-6.14
117
De'Zhaun StriblingSF
WR24
-6.16
118
Travis EtienneNO
RB27
-6.20
119
C.J. StroudHOU
QB25
-6.26
120
DK MetcalfPIT
WR29
-6.29
121
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS
RB25
-6.30
122
Caleb DouglasMIA
WR23
-6.40
123
Deebo SamuelSF
WR30
-6.43
124
Brian ThomasJAX
WR24
-6.44
125
Quentin JohnstonLAC
WR25
-6.58
126
Jaylen WrightMIA
RB23
-6.79
127
Josh JacobsGB
RB28
-6.80
128
Marvin HarrisonARI
WR24
-6.82
129
Jakobi MeyersJAX
WR30
-6.95
130
Tre TuckerLV
WR25
-6.99
131
Stefon DiggsWAS
WR33
-7.00
132
Travis KelceKC
TE37
-7.19
133
Michael PittmanPIT
WR29
-7.26
134
Tyjae SpearsTEN
RB25
-7.30
135
David MontgomeryHOU
RB29
-7.36
136
Deshaun WatsonCLE
QB31
-7.53
137
AJ BarnerSEA
TE24
-7.55
138
Baker MayfieldTB
QB31
-7.55
139
Braelon AllenNYJ
RB22
-7.56
140
Tre' HarrisLAC
WR24
-7.72
141
Tony PollardTEN
RB29
-7.81
142
Mark AndrewsBAL
TE31
-7.89
143
Courtland SuttonDEN
WR31
-7.95
144
Chris BellMIA
WR22
-8.30
145
Isaiah DavisNYJ
RB24
-8.36
146
Brenton StrangeJAX
TE26
-8.38
147
Jake FergusonDAL
TE27
-8.38
148
Justin HerbertLAC
QB28
-8.41
149
Aaron JonesMIN
RB32
-8.55
150
Omar CooperNYJ
WR23
-8.55

Frequently asked questions

About EWAR Rankings

What is EWAR?▾

Wins Above Replacement, projected across the next 5 seasons. It measures how much a player actually adds over the next best option at his position, not his raw scoring and not his market price.

How is this different from Player Rankings?▾

Player Rankings shows real KeepTradeCut market value, what the market is paying for a player right now. EWAR is our own model's answer to a different question: how much winning does this player actually add. The two lists won't match, and that's expected. A player can be priced high on name value while adding relatively little real win equity, or the other way around.

Why do these numbers look different from a team's Projected Wins?▾

Projected Wins on a real team runs through the site's full win simulation, built from that team's actual roster. EWAR is a standalone ranking with no specific team behind it, so it uses a simpler approximation to turn a player's projected edge into a win number. Treat EWAR as a ranking tool for comparing players against each other, not as a literal season win total.

Why does the bottom of the list look bunched together?▾

Once you're past the real difference makers at a position, most remaining players are close to replacement level by definition, so their EWAR naturally compresses toward zero. The top of the list is where this ranking is most meaningful. Small gaps near the bottom shouldn't be read as a precise ordering.

What do the Superflex and TE Premium filters change?▾

They change who actually counts as a starter. Superflex adds real demand for a second quarterback, so quarterbacks rank higher there than in a 1QB league. TE Premium adds real per reception scoring for tight ends, so their projected output, and their EWAR, goes up with it.